Heather Booth

Items authored


17 Jul 2006

Heather Booth, Rob J. Hyndman, Leonie Tickle and Piet de Jong compare the short- to medium- term accuracy of five variants or extensions of the Lee-Carter method for mortality forecasting.


7 Jun 2006

Heather Booth reviews the performances of alternative approaches to demographic and population forecasting over the past 25 years.

Working paper

20 Feb 2004

Heather Booth and Leonie Tickle present new forecasts of sex- and age-specific mortality for four post-50 age groups and demonstrate the extent to which longevity is likely to increase over the lifetime of age cohorts now alive.


19 Sep 2003

In this reappraisal of the available data, Heather Booth and Leonie Tickle conclude that official sources underestimate the future size of the aged population, especially the female aged and the oldest aged.


1 Sep 2001

Application of the Lee-Carter method to Australian data shows that model assumptions are not always met because of age-time interactions.

In this article Heather Booth, John Maindonald and Len Smith adapt the Lee-Carter method to take account of departures from linearity in the dominant...

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