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Neil Donnelly


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Research report

06 Mar 2017

Aims: To assess the longer-term effects of the 2014 NSW liquor law reforms on levels of violence in the inner Sydney area.

Method: Interrupted time series models were used to examine the effects of the legislative reforms introduced in January 2014....

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Research report

31 Oct 2016

Aim:
To compare the accuracy of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and Holt-Winters additive exponential smoothing method for forecasting the size of the total NSW adult prison population

Method:
NSW adult prison population...

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Research report

16 Sep 2016

Aim: To determine whether the fine amount, the fine detection mode and the socioeconomic status of the offender influence the willingness to pay a fine.

Method: Adults from NSW were surveyed about their experience with traffic fines and willingness to pay...

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Research report

20 Apr 2016

Aim: To examine trends in non-domestic assault in Pyrmont and The Star casino since the February 2014 reforms contained in the Liquor Amendment Act 2014 (popularly known as the ‘lockout laws’) were implemented in central Sydney.

Method: Time series...

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Briefing paper

18 May 2015

Prison population forecasting is fraught with difficulty. Many factors affect the size of the prison population, including levels of crime, the number of arrests, the proportion of arrestees convicted, the proportion refused bail, the proportion given a prison sentence, the average length of...

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Research report

19 Feb 2015

This paper argues that regulatory authorities should be concerned about increases in liquor outlet density.

Abstract

Aim: To investigate the relationship between liquor licence concentrations and assault rates in Local Government Areas (LGAs) in...

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Research report

30 Jan 2014

Aim: To assess whether the NSW Alcohol-MERIT program improves the health and wellbeing of defendants.

Method: Before their participation in the Alcohol-MERIT program, the health and wellbeing of 123 defendants was measured using the SF-36, Kessler-10...

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Research report

05 Sep 2013

Aim: The Medically Supervised Injecting Centre (MSIC) opened in Kings Cross in May 2001. This paper examines whether there have been: (i) increases in the volume of robbery, theft and illicit drug offences in Kings Cross Local Area Command (LAC) up until December 2012 or; (ii)...

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Research report

03 Jul 2013

This study aimed to determine whether being referred to the Court Referral of Eligible Defendants into Treatment (CREDIT) pilot program reduces re-offending.

Method: Using propensity score matching, adult defendants referred to the CREDIT program, who had their matter...

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Research report

28 May 2012

This study aims to determine whether the provision of responsible service of alcohol (RSA) changed in NSW licensed premises between 2002 and 2011.

Method: A repeat cross-sectional telephone survey of young adults (n=2,503 in 2011, n=2,427 in 2006, n=1,090 in...

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