Large proportions of older voters have consistently favoured the Liberal/National Coalition since the mid 1990s. Will this demographic pattern continue to favour the Coalition, or is there a shift underway in the opposite direction? This paper attempts to answer this question by drawing on a well-known data source, Newspoll. The results suggest that, as the 'baby boomers' age, the voting patterns of older Australians appear to be changing in a direction which is adverse for the Liberal/National Party vote.
A short version of this paper is available via APO's Comment & Analysis section.