The East Coast Regional Economic Potential Study provides an overview of economic development issues and opportunities facing the East Coast study area - which covers Gisborne, Wairoa, Napier and Hastings.

It is divided into two parts:

  • Stage 1 draws on existing data and reports and includes targeted interviews with stakeholders from local government, industry organisations, iwi and infrastructure providers to gather current perspectives on economic performance of the study area, as well as constraints and opportunities for growth.
  • Stage 2 models five economic growth scenarios and the implications for transport and skills over the next 10, 20 and 30 years. There is a baseline growth scenario, a weak growth scenario and a strong growth scenario. The baseline scenario is also adjusted to develop two oil and gas scenarios – small scale and large scale production.

The East Coast Regional Economic Potential Study was jointly commissioned by the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment and the Ministry of Transport. A local steering group for the study was formed with the Mayors of Gisborne, Napier, Hastings and Wairoa, the Chair of the Hawke’s Bay Regional Council and the Chairs of Te Rūnanaga o Ngāti Porou, Te Rūnanga o Turanganui a Kiwa and Ngāti Kahungunu Iwi Incorporated.

This report has been prepared for the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment by Nick Hill, Stephen Knuckey and EeMun Chen from MartinJenkins (Martin, Jenkins & Associates Limited), John Williamson from Ascari Partners, Richard Paling from Richard Paling Consulting and Heta Hudson from Crowe Horwath International.

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