NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research
Aim: To determine whether there has been any change in the rate of reporting of assaults at The Star casino by staff before and after the lockout reforms were introduced in February 2014. This paper also briefly examines the characteristics of...
Aim : To compare the accuracy of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and Holt-Winters additive exponential smoothing method for forecasting the size of the total NSW adult prison population
Method : NSW adult prison population data was obtained up until July...
Contents: This report presents 24 months of reception, discharge and custody population data and comparisons between the current and previous quarter for age, gender, indigenous status, most serious offence and the average length of stay.
Separate figures are presented for juveniles and adults....
Aim: To estimate the proportion of ADVOs breached and identify factors associated with a breach of a final order.
Method: Details of all ADVOs granted between 1 July 2013 and 30 June 2014 (inclusive) were extracted from the NSW COPS database and...
Aim: To determine whether greater efficiency can be achieved through application of the Rolling List Court (RLC) model to NSW District Criminal Court matters.
Method: A non-blinded randomised trial was initiated in which eligible District Criminal Court matters were randomly assigned, after...
Aims: To determine: (1) the long-term risk that someone charged with a violent offence will commit another violent offence (2) what factors influence the likelihood of desistance and the length of time to the next violent offence for those who do...
Of 81,199 adult offenders, 26% reoffended within two years of the index appearance.
Aim To re-examine the Group Risk Assessment Model (GRAM) for predicting reoffending in adults given non-custodial sentences and to assess the accuracy of the model.
Method Adult offenders...
Examines the rise in the NSW Indigenous prison population.
Method: Descriptive analysis of trends in bail, sentencing and court appearances.
Results: The rise in Indigenous imprisonment in NSW is due to a combination of higher rates of arrest resulting in conviction,...
Aim: To describe trends in Indigenous arrest rates in New South Wales for property and violent offences.
Method: Descriptive analysis of overall and age-specific trends for property and violent crime.
Results: Over the last 15 years in NSW the rate...
Aim: To examine the effect of the Bail Act 2013 (NSW) and subsequent ‘show-cause’ amendments on trends in the number and proportion of defendants being refused bail.
Method: Descriptive analysis of the number of defendants, proportion of all defendants and proportion of...