Economic forecasting

FAST Record ID: 
901942

Working paper

18 Jun 2018

We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks originating in the US on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts.

Report

15 Jun 2018

The Singapore economy faces significant challenges in coming years, including disruptions caused by new technologies, changing structures of international competitiveness and growing economic nationalism.

Technical report

4 Jun 2018

In February 2016, Infrastructure Australia (IA) presented its Australian Infrastructure Plan to the Australian Government, detailing the economic impact of proposed policy reforms through changes to gross domestic product (GDP), GDP per capita and GDP per household. As an input into the Australian Infrastructure Plan,...

Guide

7 May 2018

This quick guide identifies information and key concepts that are used in the budget papers and related materials, and other resources that are available to analyse the budget.

Report

2 May 2018

This publication provides an overview of trends in the Australian labour market to support job seekers and providers, career advisers, those considering future training and work, and people interested in labour market issues.

Strategy

24 Apr 2018

The lack of clarity about the nature and scale of the challenges faced in the freight sector is why this report's key recommendation is for the Commonwealth to establish an independent statutory body, with the mandate, structure and resources to close the data gap.

Report

10 Apr 2018

Governments are the main audience for economic modelling, largely because of their role in making investments on behalf of taxpayers. As such, the public service plays a key role in influencing the behaviour of economic modellers and consequently the quality of information modellers provide to...

Working paper

9 Apr 2018

This resource aims to inform consideration of any changes to regulatory settings that may be needed to support the rollout and adoption of 5G services. It provides estimates of the costs and benefits that may stem from 5G and the impacts on businesses and consumers....

Report

Modelling the potential consequences for the Australian economy
3 Apr 2018

This report assesses the extent of domestic and world economy risks from the current tensions in global trade arrangements.

Commentary

22 Mar 2018

Finance’s share of the Australian economy is higher than ever, leaving us vulnerable to a growing global liquidity bubble, writes Michael Gill.

Article

14 Mar 2018

Each year the Fair Work Commission is presented with submissions that are used to determine the minimum wage of millions of Australian workers. The submissions presented to the Fair Work Commission however, are largely based on vested interests with powerful unions and business advocacy groups...

Commentary

13 Mar 2018

Australia has become an economy burdened down with debt. The burden may feel light now, with interest rates so low, but as they rise it will become heavier, and slow our capacity to grow.

Report

7 Feb 2018

One focus of this paper is on the fiscal incentives faced by state governments and how these incentives cause regulatory problems. This suggests reforms to the federation, worthwhile for many reasons, will also assist in cutting back Australia’s red tape burden.

Report

5 Feb 2018

AI, robotics and other forms of smart automation have the potential to bring great economic benefits, contributing up to $15 trillion to global GDP by 2030 according to this analysis. This extra wealth will also generate the demand for many jobs, but there are also...

Report

2 Feb 2018

Australia’s sound governance, political stability and transparent regulatory system build economic resilience and minimise sovereign risk. In an uncertain world, Australia is a safe and secure place to invest and do business.

Report

23 Jan 2018

Resilient and sustainable infrastructure is critical to economic growth and social progress. Looking at the challenges and opportunities ahead, this report harnesses the views of more than 500 industry decision makers globally, all of whom work on projects of +US$100 million.

Draft report

14 Dec 2017

This draft report aims to assist individuals and organisations to participate in the inquiry. It outlines the background to the inquiry, the Commission’s intended approach, and the matters about which the Commission is seeking comment and information.

Report

8 Dec 2017

Despite impressive economic performance, Vietnam’s strong trade and investment gains have yet to fully overcome the vestiges of its economic past.

Report

7 Dec 2017

The purpose of these reports is to provide additional detail on the impacts of economic scenarios on the medium-term budget position, including the effects on major revenue and expenditure areas of the budget.

Research report

5 Dec 2017

Indonesia has been ignoring its leadership role in ASEAN, even though that organisation has the potential to be a valuable tool for extending Indonesian influence.