Economic forecasting

Report

6 Sep 2018

This report analyses projections for receipts and spending at a detailed level over the period to 2028‐29 to explain the main reasons for the projected return to surplus, fall in net debt, and increase in net financial worth over this period. This analysis takes the...

Report

15 Aug 2018

This analysis reviews Indonesia’s recent economic performance and sets out why the present growth path is inadequate. It analyses structural problems with the current growth model and assesses to what extent Jokowi’s policy efforts have improved Indonesia’s growth trajectory.

Research report

The 13th annual statistical report of the HILDA Survey
31 Jul 2018

The Melbourne Institute publishes the latest findings from the HILDA Survey each year, allowing Australians to see how different aspects of their lives have changed over time. This report presents key findings from Waves 1 to 16 of the HILDA Survey.

Research report

31 Jul 2018

This paper outlines some of the findings from the 2018 HILDA report that may have ramifications for social and economic policy.

Briefing paper

30 Jul 2018

Australia Institute research has consistently shown there is no correlation between lower company tax rates, employment or economic growth. This analysis shows that foreign investors will be the unambiguous winners of the proposed company tax cut.

Report

Measuring the impact of travel times and station location on job and housing accessibility
10 Jul 2018

The Committee for Sydney and Sydney Business Chamber have produced economic modelling which concludes that a 15-minute journey between the CBD and Parramatta will deliver a bigger jobs benefit for Western Sydney than a slower journey would.

Discussion paper

10 Jul 2018

The UK’s longstanding current account deficit indicates that the UK economy has a fundamental problem of international competitiveness.

Report

5 Jul 2018

This report assesses the influence of the current system of Horizontal Fiscal Equalisation (HFE) on productivity, efficiency and economic growth; the incentives for the states to undertake reforms that improve the operation of their jurisdictions; and on the states’ abilities to prepare and deliver annual...

Report

4 Jul 2018

The UK’s vote to leave the EU arose in part from deep social and geographical divides across the country. But could the decision to leave impact upon those same inequalities?

Working paper

18 Jun 2018

We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks originating in the US on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts.

Report

18 Jun 2018

This report on the demand outlook for thermal coal in our region has forecast strong appetite for thermal (energy) coal across existing and emerging Asian markets between now and 2030.

Report

15 Jun 2018

The Singapore economy faces significant challenges in coming years, including disruptions caused by new technologies, changing structures of international competitiveness and growing economic nationalism.

Technical report

4 Jun 2018

In February 2016, Infrastructure Australia (IA) presented its Australian Infrastructure Plan to the Australian Government, detailing the economic impact of proposed policy reforms through changes to gross domestic product (GDP), GDP per capita and GDP per household. As an input into the Australian Infrastructure Plan,...

Guide

7 May 2018

This quick guide identifies information and key concepts that are used in the budget papers and related materials, and other resources that are available to analyse the budget.

Report

2 May 2018

This publication provides an overview of trends in the Australian labour market to support job seekers and providers, career advisers, those considering future training and work, and people interested in labour market issues.

Strategy

24 Apr 2018

The lack of clarity about the nature and scale of the challenges faced in the freight sector is why this report's key recommendation is for the Commonwealth to establish an independent statutory body, with the mandate, structure and resources to close the data gap.

Report

10 Apr 2018

Governments are the main audience for economic modelling, largely because of their role in making investments on behalf of taxpayers. As such, the public service plays a key role in influencing the behaviour of economic modellers and consequently the quality of information modellers provide to...

Working paper

9 Apr 2018

This resource aims to inform consideration of any changes to regulatory settings that may be needed to support the rollout and adoption of 5G services. It provides estimates of the costs and benefits that may stem from 5G and the impacts on businesses and consumers....

Report

Modelling the potential consequences for the Australian economy
3 Apr 2018

This report assesses the extent of domestic and world economy risks from the current tensions in global trade arrangements.

Commentary

22 Mar 2018

Finance’s share of the Australian economy is higher than ever, leaving us vulnerable to a growing global liquidity bubble, writes Michael Gill.

Overview

 

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