Systemic risk

Working paper

31 Aug 2016

We develop a theoretical and empirical framework to model the international connections between fi…nancial institutions and sovereign debt markets. By allowing for both good and poor returns on the investments of fi…nancial institutions in real economy fi…rms and the potential for haircuts in sovereign debt...

Working paper

5 Feb 2016

The Australian Financial System Inquiry (FSI) has identified ways to improve the efficiency and resilience of the Australian banking system. In particular, bank capital levels are expected to be unquestionably strong. However, limited empirical guidance on the size of such buffers exists. We analyse the...

Working paper

31 Jan 2016

This paper analyses the systemic risk in relation to bank lending for Asian economies. The methodology complements existing market-based systemic risk measures by providing measures based on accounting information that regulators typically collect. Loan loss provisions of banks are decomposed into (i) a prediction component...

Working paper

14 May 2015

We provide empirical evidence on the degree of systemic risk in Australia before, during and after the Global Financial Crisis. We calculate a daily index of systemic risk from 2004 to 2013 in order to understand how real economy firms influence the outcomes for the...

Working paper

30 Sep 2014

The increasingly intertwined banking and insurance sectors have lead to calls for stronger regulatory oversight of the insurance industry as potentially systemically risky. Ultimately systemic risk impacts the real economy, and this paper measures the risk via interconnectedness of the banking, insurance and real economy...

Working paper

31 Mar 2014

This paper analyses the pricing of systematic risk factors in credit default swap contracts in a two-stage empirical framework. In the first pass, we estimate contract specific sensitivities to several systematic risk factors by time-series regressions using quoted credit default swap (CDS) spreads of 339...

Working paper

30 Nov 2013

The funds, entities and regulators involved in the superannuation industry together comprise a system that is complex and dynamic. The differentiation between roles and the distribution of responsibility offers the system as a whole resilience against local failure. However the interconnections that bind and constitute...

Working paper

30 Nov 2013

To measure the systemic risk in financial markets, and rank systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs), we propose a methodology based on the Google PageRank algorithm. We understand the economic system as interconnected risk shocks of firms in both the financial sector and the real economy....

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Items: 8