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East Asia

Report

31 Oct 2017

In his 2016 campaign for the presidency, Donald Trump promised to step away from alliances, free trade agreements, and efforts to promote human rights, steps that would have substantially undermined the liberal international order. Early in his presidency, as he withdrew from the Trans-Pacific...

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Report

24 Aug 2017

After half a century of almost uninterrupted economic growth, we have largely forgotten to factor in the potential impact of sustained economic weakness when analysing geopolitical risk.

Global economic growth has slowed substantially since the heady days before the financial crisis of...

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Research report

09 Mar 2016

Overview

This study argues that the Taiwan Strait will remain dangerous and that Canberra needs to pay closer attention to the evolving cross-strait situation. Of crucial importance is the question of whether Australia should support its US ally in a future Taiwan...

Research report

01 Oct 2015

Overview

Security issues in the South China Sea are often studied, whereas analysis of scientific cooperation in those waters is rare, thinly spread and short. This paper looks at shared priorities, China's leading role in launching scientific programs, implications for...

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Research report

22 Sep 2015

Overview

Australia, long condemned to the ´tyranny of distance´, now faces the ´peril of proximity´. This is because of increasing uncertainty about the stability of Asian security. As a democratic free-trading middle power, Australia’s main concern is the preservation of...

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Research report

25 Aug 2015

Abstract

This paper examines Australia’s national security interests in the South China Sea. It notes that a number of states lay claim to various islands in the region, and that territorial disputes over those claims have occasionally erupted into armed conflict in the...

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Research report

05 Aug 2015

This paper outlines the dilemmas faced by Asian countries caught in strategic competition between great powers.

Abstract

This paper by Singapore’s Ambassador-at-large Bilahari Kausikan was the inaugural Shedden Lecture in Strategy and Defence. It artfully describes...

Journal article

14 Jul 2015

Abstract

This paper explores the rise of ICTs as instruments of government reform and the implication of their use from the vantage point of the relations between democratic governance, the aims of Buen Vivir, and the role of civil society. We discuss some of the...

Chapter

13 Jul 2015

This article presents an argument about the relationship between global problems, complexity, problem-solving, and East Asian civil society. In section 1, we begin by asking two fundamental questions: what is specifically “global” about a global problem, and what underlies an issue of global...

Research report

02 Jul 2015

Overview: This report analyses the regional trend of key nations investing in more capable naval and air platforms. In Northeast Asia, countries include China, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan. In Southeast Asia, the paper looks at Indonesia, Singapore, Vietnam, the Philippines,...

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Research report

30 Jan 2015

This paper argues that by identifying clear ideas about acceptable conduct in the key domains (Maritime, Space and Cyber) the US and China can avoid conflict without presuming away differences of interest or opinion. 

Executive summary

  • To avoid talking itself
  • ...
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Research report

19 Dec 2014

This paper explores the opportunities for both Australia and Japan jointly to promote their shared interest in strengthening the rule of law in the Asia–Pacific.

Overview

The rule of law is an essential condition if cooperation and orderly behaviour are to be...

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Research report

09 Nov 2014

This paper examines the possible escalation of conflict between China and Japan and the implications for Australia and the US.

Executive summary:

  • Political competition and a lack of crisis management mechanisms could make it very hard for China and Japan to
  • ...

Research report

04 Nov 2014

This paper analyses the circumstances under which conflict in the East China Sea could occur and the implications for Australia.

Executive summary

Tensions between China and Japan have ratcheted up in recent years to the point where their territorial dispute over...

Research report

02 Sep 2014

Outlines the competing interests behind tensions in the South China Sea and makes policy recommendations for the United States.

Executive summary

The South China Sea disputes involve the interests of the United States, particularly with regard to freedom of...

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Research report

01 Sep 2014

Abstract: With US leadership unable to guarantee peace and security in the Indo-Pacific this century, the region will need to transition to a balance of power system divided between China, the United States, India and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). To...

Research report

28 Aug 2014

If India gains full membership of the Shanghai Co-operation Organisation, it could have a huge impact on the international order, argues this report.

Summary

At least one news report suggests that a decision was made at the Shanghai Co-operation Organisation’s (SCO...

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Research report

08 Aug 2014

In this Analysis, Lowy Institute International Security Program Director Rory Medcalf and Nonresident Fellow C. Raja Mohan argue that Chinese assertiveness and uncertainties about America’s role in Indo-Pacific Asia are causing middle powers to look for alternative approaches to regional...

Research report

05 Jun 2014

This survey of strategic elites in eleven Asia Pacific economies examines the implications of major power rivalries and confrontation, coinciding with increased economic cooperation and community building.

Overview

Asia stands out as the world’s most vibrant region...

Journal article

12 Mar 2014

This article argues that Beijing is using its fishing and paramilitary fleets for geopolitical purposes by pursuing a strategy of “fish, protect, contest, and occupy”, designed to reinforce its sovereignty and resource claims over contested islands in the Western Pacific and coerce other...

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