Impact of COVID-19: theoretical modelling of how the health system can respond

COVID-19 Infectious diseases Medicine Disease management Health care data Australia

Australia has a world class health system, including a National Plan for Pandemics. This plan includes modelling possible scenarios of COVID-19 spreading through the Australian population, which is informing the actions Australian governments and medical experts are taking to slow the spread and prepare our health system.

This document outlines scenario modelling undertaken to inform how Australia is preparing our health system, including our intensive care units, for COVID-19. The modelling does not reflect the actual spread of the virus in Australia or the decisions the National Cabinet has taken to slow the spread. The National Cabinet has now asked the modellers to refine future modelling to reflect the actual experience in Australia, including the impact of the measures we have in place.

The report covers:

  • Planning a response
  • The government's response to COVID-19
  • Modelling the impact on intensive care capacity
  • Broader health system capacity building
  • Continuing to build the evidence base
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