John P. Haisken-DeNew

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Working paper

20 Dec 2014

This paper analyses how strongly anticipated economic circumstances might impact on individuals retirement decisions.


We estimate hazard rates of retirement entry as a function of the option value of work. The individuals’ expectations about the future economy are incorporated in the...


5 Nov 2003

Over recent years a number of papers have used individual or household longitudinal survey data to investigate the rationality of income expectations. In this paper the authors provide a novel contribution to this literature by examining the ability of individuals to correctly predict their own...

Discussion paper

30 Jul 2003

In this paper the authors investigate if there was a causal effect of changes in current and 'permanent' income on the health of East Germans in the years following reunification. Reunification was completely unanticipated and therefore can be seen as providing some exogenous variation, which...

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