TY - Working paper AU - Daniel Rosch AU - Harald Scheule PY - 2014 T1 - Forecasting mortgage securitization risk under systemic risk and parameter uncertainty PB - Centre for International Finance and Regulation DO - https://doi.org/APO-66290 UR - https://apo.org.au/node/66290 AB - The Global Financial Crisis exposed financial institutions to severe unexpected losses in relation to mortgage securitizations and derivatives. This paper finds that risk models such as ratings are exposed to a large degree of systematic risk and parameter uncertainty. ER -