Person

Charles R. Plott

Report

The predictive power of Box office prophecy

Overall, Box office Prophecy is very successful. The data show that amazingly accurate predictions can be made. Ten or so participants between them often have enough information to accurately assign probabilities to each box office 'bucket' or possible outcome. The results leave no doubt that...
Report

The predictive power of Box office prophecy

Overall, Box office Prophecy is very successful. The data show that amazingly accurate predictions can be made. Ten or so participants between them often have enough information to accurately assign probabilities to each box office 'bucket' or possible outcome. The results leave no doubt that...