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Aim: To explain the rapid rise in the NSW prison population over the five years from 2011 to 2015.
Methods: Descriptive analysis of court, police and prison data. Kendall’s tau was used to test for significant change in trend...
Prison population forecasting is fraught with difficulty. Many factors affect the size of the prison population, including levels of crime, the number of arrests, the proportion of arrestees convicted, the proportion refused bail, the proportion given a prison sentence, the average length of prison sentences,...
This paper provides a preliminary analysis of the rapid rise in the NSW prison population from January 2013 to March 2014.
Method: Descriptive analysis of court, crime, arrest and correctional data, and ARIMA modelling of prison trends.
Results: The key factors...
Modest reductions in the rate at which offenders are re-imprisoned would result in substantial savings in prisoner numbers and correctional outlays, according to this report.
At present 58 per cent of all persons given a prison sentence are re-imprisoned at some later point in...