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This discussion paper draws on modelling by coal industry analysts, which shows that a big expansion of coal exports from the Galilee Basin would have a major impact on coal production from coal mines in the Bowen and Surat basins in southern Queensland.
As the world works to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, it will need to burn less coal. As a result, the world will need less coal mines. In the lead up to the Paris climate talks in December 2015, President Anote Tong of Kiribati and other...
This paper calls for a code of conduct for economic modelling. A code would require key assumptions to be revealed, context and comparison to be provided, and the identification of who, if anyone, commissioned the work. Modelling results are being used to make important policy...
The most common problem with the way that economic modelling used is Australian policy debates in Australia is when good modelling is used out of context to suggest that the case for a particular policy position is stronger than the modelling actually suggests. This technical...
The Australia Institute has reviewed economic modelling of climate policies released by Brian Fisher, of BAEconomics. The review shows that BAEconomics’ modelling is based on flawed assumptions and its conclusions are not valid.
New analysis of the BAE economics modelling by Brian Fisher highlights that it is based on numerous flawed assumptions which cast serious doubt to the validity of the claims contained.
This paper analyses 22 recent modelling reports of the economic impacts of higher ambition targets. Extensive literature shows Australia can achieve higher ambition targets with very small economic impacts. Claims that higher ambition would be ‘economy wrecking’ or ‘apocalyptic’ are not credible.
Unless national action is taken to meet the Paris Target to limit global warming to less than 2 degrees, Australia’s GDP faces a hit of an average of $130 billion per year according to this briefing note by The Australia Institute.
Australia Institute research has consistently shown there is no correlation between lower company tax rates, employment or economic growth. This analysis shows that foreign investors will be the unambiguous winners of the proposed company tax cut.
Community pressure in Tasmania is growing for poker machines to be banned from hotels and clubs.