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The bulk of climate research has tended to underplay the risk of lower-probability, higher impact events. However, if climate policymaking is to be soundly based, a reframing of scientific research within an existential risk-management framework is now urgently required.
This report looks at climate change and conflict issues through the lens of sensible risk-management to draw new conclusions about the challenge we now face.
Having crossed the threshold from denying to accepting that climate change is a serious issue, which the government now claims to have done, sensible policy becomes mandatory. Time is of the essence, for the longer it takes to implement solutions, the harder they become, particularly...
This policy paper looks at the existential climate-related security risk through a scenario set thirty years into the future.