Economic forecasting

ALTERNATIVE LABELS
Demand forecasting
NARROWER TERMS
Report

Economic and political outlook 2021

2020 was a year of rapid policy development in Australia. It brought twists and turns in decision-making, as governments responded to a crisis that remains with us in 2021, as nations keep working to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. This publication provides valuable analysis to help...
Report

Back in business? WA small businesses and the impact of COVID-19

The impact of COVID-19 has been felt across the economy and business sector, but for small businesses these shocks can be more challenging to deal with, with fewer resources to draw from. This report covers findings from the 2020 BCEC Small Business Survey including the...
Report

Business experiences in 2020 and outlook for 2021

This report is the last in a series of monthly reports by the Australian Industry Group about Australia’s business experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic and recession in 2020.
Briefing paper

The agreement on the future relationship: a first analysis

After years of negotiations, the United Kingdom and the European Union have struck a deal on their future relationship. This deal is one of the most critical agreements the UK will negotiate in the post-Brexit era. This paper offers a first attempt at assessing the...
Report

A wave of disadvantage across NSW: impact of the COVID-19 recession

COVID-19 has started an economic tsunami that threatens to overwhelm progress towards reducing disadvantage across New South Wales. This report provides estimates based on international, Australian and original research on the impact of rising unemployment on disadvantage across NSW’s regions.
Report

Estimating the economic impacts of lowering current levels of income support payments

This analysis, by Deloitte Access Economics, suggests that the federal government's planned cuts to the coronavirus supplement for people on JobSeeker, Youth Allowance and parenting payments could see the economy lose $31.3 billion and 145,000 full-time jobs over the next two years.
Report

Rebuild New Zealand: retail sector

In its report PwC analyses data from a range of sources to paint a picture of the trading environment in the wake of COVID-19, and considers what developments in consumer sentiment may tell us about what lies ahead for the retail sector.
Report

A cost benefit analysis of 5 extra days at COVID-19 alert level 4

COVID-19 is both a health and an economic crisis for New Zealand. How it handles the health crisis affects the economy, and how it handles the economic crisis will affect New Zealander’s health in the future. Looking at health or economic costs in isolation risks...
Policy report

The economic challenge of COVID-19

This paper argues that attempting to eradicate the COVID-19 virus would impose unbearable economic and social costs and Australia must find low-cost ways to live with the virus, rather than remaining constrained while waiting for a vaccine that may take years to arrive, if ever.
Report

Australia’s exposure to regional economic disruption: investment

This paper discusses how the COVID-related recession will significantly dampen international capital flows in 2020.