This publication is designed in two sections: Blue Book — what to expect in a Biden administration and Red Book — what to expect in a second term of the Trump administration. Each section is designed to give a robust guide to the major policies...
This paper argues that the United States needs to recognise that Australia and others have interests both in engaging with and restraining China, providing support while avoiding counterproductive pressuring for bi-polarisation of the region.
This paper argues that Australia shares significant overlap of geographically-derived interests with the emerging middle powers of Southeast Asia. As such, the importance of developing Southeast Asia functions as a protective membrane for Australia’s own prosperity and security.
This paper argues that the dynamics in the Indo-Pacific will now probably be predicated on pushback against China, which the world is already witnessing with the realignment of alliances, the rise of regional powers and American endurance.
Illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing has been described as the leading maritime security threat and the Chinese distant water fishing fleet is likely to be the world’s leading perpetrator. While Beijing has taken steps to address wrongdoing in the Chinese fishing industry, it might continue...
This paper argues that if Donald Trump wins a second term in the upcoming election, the rest of the world will conclude that the United States has fundamentally changed and is no longer committed to the traditional leadership role it has played since the Second...
The purpose of this report is to review Australian experience of peace processes and suggest possible approaches for strengthening them.
As the prospect of high-intensity military conflict in the Indo-Pacific becomes more likely, Beijing, Washington and Canberra will need to manage nuclear risks more proactively.
COVID-19 presents new challenges to the existing governance objectives of USAID’s Indo-Pacific Strategy, especially as great power competitors, like China, use the pandemic as a vehicle to further exacerbate existing democratic backsliding, corruption and disinformation.
This working paper argues that the Trump administration’s policy experiment on China has failed to curb Chinese behaviours of concern or elicit Chinese concessions on American priorities. China has grown more repressive at home and more assertive in pursuit of its external ambitions. These outcomes...