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At their Beijing summit in February 2022, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin proclaimed a 'friendship without limits.' Yet Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, and the Chinese response to it, has exposed the limitations of the Sino–Russian partnership, argues Bobo Lo in this...
The author of this paper argues that although there are many compelling reasons to prefer that Taiwan remain democratic and retain its affinity with the West, these outcomes are not so vital as to merit a strategy for which the immediate consequence of failure is...
This paper focuses on the report 'Our Common Agenda', arguably one of the most hard-hitting reports recently released by the United Nations to strengthen multilateralism to address a range of crises, and urges more robust Australian engagement with these processes.
The authors of this report argue that China will likely experience a substantial long-term growth slowdown, owing to demographic decline, the limits of capital-intensive growth and a gradual deceleration in productivity growth.
Climate change is much more than an environmental crisis—it’s a systemic crisis that will transform the geopolitical landscape. In this publication, leading experts explore the impacts of this rapidly emerging climate threat on regional systems by interrogating a 1.5°C 2035 climate change scenario developed by...
This policy brief looks back at what has happened since President Obama first announced the 'pivot' to Asia ten years ago in Canberra. It also examines the emerging contours of Biden’s strategy in the Indo-Pacific, and outlines what outstanding questions have yet to be addressed.
As countries around the world rally behind net zero targets, hydrogen is increasingly seen as a missing piece of the energy transformation puzzle to decarbonise harder-to-abate sectors. This report considers whether and how hydrogen may disrupt future energy systems, reflecting on many of the key...
This report includes summaries of the evidence received about the motivations for foreign interference, the forms that it can take, the elements of social media platforms and their usage that foreign interference attempts often seek to exploit, and the social and cultural features that foreign...
This paper sets out what AUKUS is—a technology accelerator that is about shifting the military balance in the Indo-Pacific. Just as importantly, it also sets out what AUKUS isn’t, to reset some of the discussion. It also proposes a simple performance metric for AUKUS implementers...
This report argues for a new approach to national security strategy and honest, transparent engagement with the reality of the threats Canada faces as a country. The report makes a series of key policy recommendations to assist the Canadian government in addressing the challenges of...
This report examines the evolution of US interests in key Asian regional multilateral groupings throughout the Clinton, George W. Bush, Obama and Trump Administrations. It argues that two key interests, namely commitment to advancing regional economic integration, and to deepening political-security cooperation through regional institutions...
As geopolitical tensions have increased in recent years, international trading relationships have become more politicised. Developed by an international group of eminent trade policy leaders, this paper outlines ten policy options – at the national, like-minded coalition and WTO levels – which can help governments...
This report suggests a new way for Australia to think about Japan, and what is needed to build the institutional support and infrastructure that is necessary for a deepening relationship.
In this report, the authors assess the security situation in Myanmar, ASEAN’s collective response and the individual roles of key ASEAN member states in the mediating process. The report concludes with some policy implications for the wider region, particularly Australia.
This report examines some key ‘sliding-door’ moments that have shaped the trajectory of ANZUS in the Pacific Island region over seven decades, to reach the current confused state within the alliance regarding its aims in the Pacific Islands.
A key focus of this inquiry was to examine the suitability of existing regional architecture and country-groupings to address key human security issues in the Indo-Pacific region, including health security, the impacts of climate change, human rights and labour rights.
This policy options paper proposes reforms to bolster the capacity of Australia's leaders to hold national security institutions accountable as Australia moves into an era of heightened strategic complexity and risk.
This policy report explains the concept of geoeconomic statecraft and the evolution of geoeconomic thinking from classical political economy, through the Cold War and post-Cold War periods, and in the more contemporary context of US-China strategic rivalry.
This paper examines the ongoing clash in the Philippines between government officials who favour appeasement, on the one hand, and those pushing for a policy of constrainment towards China in the South China Sea on the other – and how Australia can help tip the...