Global warming


2021 Strategic foresight report: the EU’s capacity and freedom to act

This report presents a forward-looking and multidisciplinary perspective on important trends affecting the EU’s capacity and freedom to act in the coming decades, including: climate change and other environmental challenges, digital hyper-connectivity and technological transformations, pressure on democracy and values, as well as shifts in...
Journal article

Landscape loopholes: moments for change

Social-ecological systems are breaking down at local, regional, and global scales, and sustainability seems an increasingly distant aspiration. Social harmony and economic systems are connected to ecological systems and climate, in multiple complex ways, at many scales.

WMO global annual to decadal climate update for 2021–2025

This document presents a summary of annual to decadal predictions of global temperature.

The risks to Australia of a 3°C warmer world

The report synthesises the observed impacts of climate change on Australia and the risk to our future of the current global trajectory of greenhouse gas emissions. It focuses on the consequences of 3°C of global warming in the absence of greater mitigation strategies for four...
Conference paper

Planning for the storm: how confronting global warming changes urban planning

Much has been written about ‘sustainability’ and, as a result the discourse is replete with uncertainties, contradictions and confusion. This paper focuses on a single sustainability problem and the change in planning required to confront it.
Journal article

Evaluation of BIM-based LCA results for building design

Various tools that use a Building Information Modelling (BIM) model for automatic quantity take-off as a basis for Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) have been developed recently. This paper describes the first application of such a BIM-LCA tool to evaluate the embodied global warming potential (GWP)...
Briefing paper

Deep decarbonization pathways

Getting to net-zero emissions by 2050 requires a combination of technology and policy, and the pathway can take many forms. This brief provides several building blocks that governments are using, or are considering, to construct these pathways, but the scale of current policies is insufficient...
Briefing paper

The Net-Zero Challenge: global climate action at a crossroads (part 1)

This paper is the first in a two-part series on the Net-Zero Challenge, which assesses the state of global climate action through the lens of corporations, governments, and civil society. While there are clear signs of incremental progress, climate action needs to move at a...
Discussion paper

The third degree: evidence and implications for Australia of existential climate-related security risk

This discussion paper provides provides detailed supporting evidence for the brief 3°C scenario. Some contentious aspects are explored, including the possibility that perhaps a billion people could be displaced by 3°C of warming, and that some regions may become too hot for human habitation for...
Policy report

From Townsville to Tuvalu: health and climate change in Australia and the Asia Pacific region

This policy paper highlights evidence and case studies to show how climate and environmental change will affect human health in the Asia Pacific region. It also provides proposals for how Australian governments - federal, state and local - might respond to this challenge.