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Population forecasting

NARROWER TERMS
Discussion paper

Silver tsunami or silver lining? Why we should not fear an ageing population

Media reports and political discourse on our ageing population often adopt a tone of panic. This discussion paper untangles the facts from the myths, so that Australians can look afresh at the population ageing issue – less from a perspective of panic than one of...
Conference paper

Greater Western Sydney regional transportation study: forecasting travel demand

This paper is based on a consulting project undertaken for the Western Sydney Regional Organisation of Councils (WSROC) to help understand the travel demand patterns that might arise from various land use and transport infrastructure scenarios in Western Sydney.
Report

Avoiding US-style demographic stagnation: the role of immigration and population growth in Australia's post-pandemic recovery

This report argues that the COVID-19 pandemic affords an opportunity for Australia to rethink the immigration policy and planning framework. The federal government’s pre-pandemic reduction in the planning cap on permanent migration from 190,000 per annum to 160,000 should be set aside indefinitely as non-binding...
Conference paper

The changing population of Australia's major cities: trends and implications

Australian cities are experiencing rapid and profound change. This paper seeks to summarise some of the main social dimensions of that change by focusing on some of the major changes occurring in the population of metropolitan Australia.
Working paper

The contrasting importance of quality of life and quality of business for domestic and international migrants

International migrants are more attracted to cities with productive amenities whereas domestic migrants are more attracted to places with consumption amenities. Thus, in deciding on the type of city amenity to enhance, city officials implicitly choose the type of migrant that they attract as well...
Report

Future urban and regional settlement patterns: scenario analysis

This project assesses the economic impacts of a more decentralized population growth strategy that prioritizes greater regional growth in and around each of these four metropolitan regions. As part of this assessment, we analyse the high-level relationship between a city’s population size and its performance...
Report

Regional population growth – are we ready?

The RAI is calling for a new national awareness campaign to promote the opportunities of living in regional Australia, and help drive a population shift in coming decades. The recommendation is part of this new report that looks at the economic consequences of alternative population...
Report

Australia’s partner visa program: reform needed

Permanent residence visas issued to persons sponsored by an Australian resident for a partner visa make up 25% of Australia’s permanent entry migration program. This paper argues that this is because the partner visa is an attractive permanent residence option for the very large number...
Dataset

Victoria in Future 2019: data

This dataset comes with Victoria in Future 2019 report, and can be downloaded as Excel spreadsheets. Projections for Victoria and major regions cover the years 2016 to 2056. Projections for smaller geographic areas extend from 2016 to 2036. Data are available either for individual years...
Report

Victoria in Future 2019: population projections 2016 to 2056

Victoria in Future 2019 (VIF2019) is the official state government projection of population and households. Projections are used by decision makers in government, business and the community to understand the growing and changing population.