International security

Policy report

The Minsk Conundrum: Western policy and Russia’s war in Eastern Ukraine

The Minsk agreements rest on two irreconcilable interpretations of Ukraine’s sovereignty: is Ukraine sovereign, as Ukrainians insist, or should its sovereignty be limited, as Russia demands? Instead of trying to resolve an unresolvable contradiction, Western policymakers should acknowledge the starkness of the Minsk conundrum.

Assessing the Quad: prospects and limitations of quadrilateral cooperation for advancing Australia's interests

There is growing agreement between Australia, India, Japan and the United States that as China rises in Asia, the rules-based order needs strengthening and defending; but does the revived Security Quadrilateral Dialogue have any real prospect of rebalancing relationships in the region? Lavina Lee explains.

Perspectives on nuclear deterrence in the 21st century

Nuclear deterrence theory, with its roots in the Cold War era, may not account for all eventualities in the 21st century. Researchers at Chatham House have worked with eight experts to produce this collection of essays examining four contested themes in contemporary policymaking on deterrence.
Briefing paper

Towards a Quad-Plus arrangement?

This briefing paper is the first instalment from the Perth USAsia Centre's Fellows program and discusses some early signs of how international partnerships might be shaped by the COVID-19 crisis.
Briefing paper

COVID-19 and conflict: seven trends to watch

The COVID-19 pandemic unquestionably presents an era-defining challenge to public health and the global economy. Its political consequences, both short- and long-term, are less well understood.

Space threat assessment 2020

This report reviews the open-source information available on the counter-space capabilities that can threaten U.S. space systems and which countries are developing such systems. The report is intended to raise awareness and understanding of the threats, debunk myths and misinformation, and highlight areas in which...

Operationalising deterrence in the Indo-Pacific

The United States and Australia need to bolster their contributions to deterrence and defence in an increasingly contested Indo-Pacific. This will require updating and future-proofing the US-Australia alliance so that it keeps up with the pace, scale and intensity of the multidimensional challenges that China...

Australia’s implementation of women, peace and security: promoting regional stability

This report examines the benefits of Australia strengthening its implementation of the women, peace and security agenda, to bolster its regional stability and national security efforts.

Competing to win: a coalition approach to countering the BRI

This report argues that the time has come for the United States and its allies and partners to form a coalition of like-minded states to compete with China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), in order to counter the geopolitical advantages Beijing is accruing.

Rethinking Taiwan policy: history, politics, ideology

Taiwan policy in Australia and internationally is structured around the ‘resolution’ of the Taiwan issue, either through a negotiated settlement or through large-scale military action by the PRC. This report argues that Australia should reassess its understanding of the Taiwan issue so as to identify...