Economic modelling

NARROWER TERMS:
Working paper

Navigating economic uncertainty in post-COVID cities

Australia has entered a period of reduced COVID-19 restrictions, yet both the health and economic well-being of our communities remain fragile. This research aims to assist policymakers in assessing the risk of employment vulnerability as the impacts of COVID-19 evolve.
Briefing paper

The macroeconomic impact of the NSW public sector pay cut

The NSW government plan to cut the pay of public servants and spend more money on capital works will likely lead to a reduction of 1,100 jobs, according to this analysis by the Australia Institute.
Report

Will Australian charities be COVID-19 casualties or partners in recovery? A financial health check

This report forecasts that more than 200,000 jobs in the charity sector could be lost as a result of the COVID-19 crisis if financial supports, such as JobKeeper and lease and loan deferrals, come to an end in October.
Discussion paper

Tasmanian design principles for fiscal policy in the pandemic

The Australia Institute has released this discussion paper looking at how key economic criteria can be used to assess the effectiveness of future stimulus measures in Tasmania.
Report

Working together in the national interest – COVID-19 next steps

Australia has been highly successful at managing the COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on local health outcomes. The business community stands ready to step-up and stand side by side with state and federal governments to safely re-open the economy and to provide and promote safe workplaces for...
Report

Outbreak readiness and business impact

Economists estimate that, in the coming decades, pandemics will cause average annual economic losses of 0.7% of global GDP – a threat similar in scale to that estimated for climate change. As this report makes clear, this is a level of risk that businesses can...
Working paper

Sustainable and equitable pensions with means testing in ageing economies

A means-tested pension system has a distinct feature that tailors the level of pension benefits according to individual status.
Commentary

Young people dropping private health hurts insurers most, not public hospitals

New private health insurance data show young people are continuing to drop their cover. But the industry's argument a youth exodus will put pressure on public hospitals isn't necessarily right.
Report

Australia's export exposure to China's coronavirus epidemic

This paper estimates the direct and immediate effects of the coronavirus epidemic on the revenues of Australia’s major export industries. It breaks down Australia’s exports to China across 18 major industry groups, including both goods and services exports.
Report

Economic and social impact of increasing Australia’s humanitarian intake

Oxfam Australia commissioned Deloitte Access Economics to analyse the economic and social impact an expanded refugee program may have on Australia’s economy and society. This report outlines the findings.