Economic modelling

Policy report

Protecting education exports: minimising the damage of China’s future economic coercion

In this paper, the authors outline how Australia can protect its education exports from potential economic coercion from China, sharing specific policy recommendations.
Report

Counting the cost to families: assessing childcare affordability in Australia

Despite government subsidies, childcare is still a significant cost for many families. This paper reviews available data on expenditure and affordability, and presents new analysis of household expenditure data to understand how much Australian families are spending on early childhood education and care, as a...
Report

The two Australias: the talkers versus the doers

The broader context for this research is the significant structural changes that have taken place across the Australian economy over the past 100 years. These changes are often discussed in the context of Australia industrialising away from its agrarian base, then de-industrialising in the shift...
Report

2021 Intergenerational report: Australia over the next 40 years

The 2021 Intergenerational Report projects an outlook for the economy and the Australian government’s budget over the next 40 years. It examines the long-term sustainability of current policies and how demographic, technological and other structural trends may affect the economy and the budget.
Policy report

A tax on sugar-sweetened beverages: modelled impacts on sugar consumption and government revenue

The management of the obesity crisis in Australia is a national and economic priority, and Australia’s response to it must be commensurate with the breadth of its prevalence and and major impacts it has on individuals and society. This report outlines economic modelling of the...
Journal article

Health and economic costs of early and delayed suppression and the unmitigated spread of COVID-19: the case of Australia

The research in this article compares the health and economic costs of early and delayed mandated suppression and the unmitigated spread of ‘first-wave’ COVID-19 infections in Australia in 2020.
Report

Unemployment payments and work incentives: an international comparison

The Morisson Government has argued that Australia’s internationally low unemployment payments are needed, in part as an incentive to encourage the unemployed to look for and accept work. This report tests the government’s theory by comparing Australia’s unemployment payments and unemployment rate (pre-COVID) to that...
Report

Australian experts' views of housing in the economy: abstract dreamings or real directions?

This report analyses the expert opinions of leading economists and other senior housing market specialists on interrelationships between the housing system, economic performance, and wealth distribution in Australia.
Report

Google’s economic impact in Australia

Digital technologies have become central to how Australians conduct their daily lives and work. This report, prepared by AlphaBeta on behalf of Google, examines the economic value presented by Google’s suite of online services
Report

The shape of Australia’s post COVID-19 workforce

This report builds on the understanding of Australia’s workforce and skills recovery from COVID-19. The report analyses the impact of the pandemic on Australia's labour market, through scenario modelling, and profiles a resilient occupations framework.