Voting patterns

NARROWER TERMS


Report

Trends in Australian political opinion: results from the Australian Election Study, 1987-2022

The Australian Election Study (AES) provides the most sophisticated and comprehensive source of evidence ever collected on political attitudes and behaviour in Australia. This monograph presents the long-term trends over time in voter attitudes and behaviour in Australia. Situating the 2022 election in historical context...
Report

The 2022 Australian federal election: results from the Australian Election Study

This report presents findings from the 2022 Australian Election Study (AES). The AES surveyed a nationally representative sample of 2,508 voters after the 2022 Australian federal election to find out what shaped their choices in the election.
Briefing paper

Research note: policy priorities and the 2022 Australian federal election result

This research note focuses on the policy priorities that appear to have shaped the 2022 Australian federal election result, and is written to accompany the ANU Centre for Social Research and Methods/School of Politics and International Relations Symposium on 'Realignment or dealignment? Survey perspectives on...
Report

Explaining the 2022 Australian federal election result

In this paper, the authors analyse the factors associated with voting behaviour in May 2022, how that relates to voting intentions at the start of the campaign, as well as voting behaviour in the 2019 election, and a summary of some other key findings from...
Working paper

Identity and support for policies towards Indigenous people: evidence from Australia

The outcome the authors investigate in this paper is the initiatives and policies targeting Indigenous populations in the context of Australia. They ask whether and how politicians’ and voters’ identities, defined based on a range of their observable characteristics, shape initiation and support of Indigenous-focused...
Report

The 2022 climate election: unpacking how climate concerned Australians voted

This analysis of key seats in the 2022 federal election makes a compelling case for the strong connection between climate concerned Australians and their voting behaviour.
Discussion paper

Between sense and nonsense: the predictive power of the electoral pendulum

This paper asks whether the electoral pendulum is a 'good guide' for election watchers and, if so, is it understood and used appropriately by the public.
Discussion paper

Views on policy and politics on the eve of the 2022 federal election

This paper focuses on the views of Australians on politics and policy, just as the 2022 federal election campaign got underway. The authors use data from the April 2022 ANUpoll, which collected data from 3,587 Australians aged 18 years and over.
Journal article

Who votes for public health? An analysis of Australian politicians’ parliamentary voting behaviour

Despite the important role politicians play in setting health policy, limited attention has been given to examining the voting behaviour of politicians in the Australian Parliament regarding health-related policy. This study systematically assessed the voting patterns of federal politicians to determine whether they concurred with...
Journal article

Australian voters’ attitudes to climate action and their social-political determinants

This article explores the social-political determinants of climate attitudes, and how they are positioned in relation to voting behaviour, in the context of the 2019 Australian federal election.
Report

Inquiry into the conduct of the 2018 Victorian state election

This report finds that there is much to be proud of in Victoria’s democracy. But there is also room for improvement. The report includes 49 recommendations aimed at enhancing elections in Victoria.
Report

The 2019 federal election

This paper provides an overview of the 2019 federal election, including the results, the political environment, and the major features of the campaign.
Working paper

Electoral administration and Aboriginal voting power in the Northern Territory: reality and potential viewed from the 2019 federal election

Looking back from 2019, this paper explores the contribution of Aboriginal votes to federal elections in the Northern Territory. It argues that Aboriginal votes have made the Territory stronger for Labor, compared to regional areas of Queensland and Western Australia.
Report

2019 Australian federal election: results from the Australian Election Study

This report presents findings from the 2019 Australian Election Study (AES). The AES surveyed a nationally representative sample of 2,179 voters after the 2019 Australian federal election to find out what shaped their choices.
Briefing paper

2019 New South Wales election: analysis of results

This paper provides basic details and analysis of the results of the 2019 New South Wales election. It includes summaries of the results in all lower house electoral districts, comparisons with the 2015 election, and statistical analysis of results and swings across districts and regions.
Commentary

Voting early, voting often?

Leaving aside errors and misunderstandings, Australia doesn’t have a big fraudulent-voting problem. But a little reassurance wouldn’t go amiss.
Report

Analysis of informal voting: House of Representatives 2016 election

Following the 2016 general election, the AEC undertook an Informal Ballot Paper Study to analyse the levels and types of informal voting. The national informality rate (informal votes as a percentage of all votes cast) decreased from 5.91 per cent of all votes cast in...
Fact sheet

Fact Check: Are ABC employees or journalists five times more likely to vote for the Greens than the general population?

Against a backdrop of calls from Liberal Party members to privatise the national broadcaster, Sinclair Davidson, an RMIT academic and adjunct fellow at the Institute of Public Affairs, claimed ABC employees were five times more likely to be Greens voters
Report

“Get used to it” Senate projections, Autumn 2018

This first edition of the Australia Institute's Senate Projections series finds that, on current polling, future elections are likely to return a crossbench that is about as large and divided as the current one.
Report

Voter turnout: 2016 House of Representatives and Senate elections

Turnout at the 2016 House of Representatives elections (91.0 per cent) was the lowest recorded since the introduction of compulsory voting ahead of the 1925 federal election, finds this analysis. Turnout at the 2016 Senate elections (91.9 per cent) was the lowest recorded since the...