Climate modelling

Climate change projections
Blog post

Australia not to hit its 5% 2020 emissions reduction target till 2030

A report released last month by the Department of the Environment and Energy shows that Australia’s greenhouse gas emissions in 2020 are estimated to be just 1.6% below their 2000 level. This means that, come June, we will have missed Australia’s decade-long, bipartisan and treaty...

Climate change threats to food and water security on Pacific atolls

This paper argues that while it is not entirely clear what the exact effects of climate change will be on the low-lying atoll countries of the South Pacific, it is likely that rising sea levels, driven at least in part by climate change, will weaken...

Yes, the world is paying attention to Australia’s climate inaction

Despite the trade minister’s response, there’s nothing unusual about Emmanuel Macron’s demand for progress, says John Quiggan.

Dangerous summer: escalating bushfire, heat and drought risk

This report argues that the long-term warming trend from the burning of coal, oil and gas is supercharging extreme weather events, putting Australian lives, the economy and the environment at risk.
Policy report

Runaway train: the impact of WA’s LNG industry on meeting our Paris targets and national efforts to tackle climate change

This report presents the first thorough investigation of direct carbon emissions from Western Australia’s Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) industry, revealing alarming growth in pollution that is placing Australia’s Paris Agreement targets in jeopardy.

Flooded future: global vulnerability to sea level rise worse than previously understood

The research in this report finds that, based on sea level projections for 2050, land currently home to 300 million people will fall below the elevation of an average annual coastal flood. By 2100, land now home to 200 million people could sit permanently below...

United in science

This report includes details on the state of the climate and presents trends in the emissions and atmospheric concentrations of the main greenhouse gases. It highlights the urgency of fundamental socio-economic transformation in key sectors such as land use and energy in order to avert...
Journal article

Increased frequency of and population exposure to extreme heat index days in the United States during the 21st century

The National Weather Service of the United States uses the heat index—a combined measure of temperature and relative humidity—to define risk thresholds warranting the issuance of public heat alerts.
Journal article

Understanding climate change from a global analysis of city analogues

Combating climate change requires unified action across all sectors of society. However, this collective action is precluded by the ‘consensus gap’ between scientific knowledge and public opinion.

Use of climate science in adaptation planning and decision making

Collaborations were developed and research carried out that reveal that current state-of-the-art climate models and assessments all underestimate the risk of multidecadal “megadrought” in the State of Victoria, and that there is a substantial risk of future droughts much longer and more severe than any...