An exploratory analysis of the factors influencing trial duration in the NSW District Criminal Court.
Aim: To develop a statistical model which enables court administrators to determine the future impact on trial court delay of changes in the backlog of pending trials.
Method: Data on the size of the pending caseload between January 2011 and June 2016...
Aim : To compare the accuracy of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and Holt-Winters additive exponential smoothing method for forecasting the size of the total NSW adult prison population
Method : NSW adult prison population data was obtained up until July...
Aims: To determine: (1) the long-term risk that someone charged with a violent offence will commit another violent offence (2) what factors influence the likelihood of desistance and the length of time to the next violent offence for those who do...
This evaluation examined the impact of Reading Recovery (RR) on students' outcomes in NSW government schools. The evaluation found some evidence that RR has a modest short-term effect on reading skills among the lowest performing students. However, RR does not appear to be an effective...
Large-scale seizures of cocaine, heroin and amphetamine-type substances (ATS) do not result in any reduction in overdoses on these drugs or on arrests for use and possession of these drugs, according to this report.
Aim: The aim of this study was to examine...
This study finds evidence that parole is effective in reducing the risk of re-offending in Australia.
The current study sought to address four questions of importance to correctional policy:
1. Does unconditional release increase the risk, speed or seriousness...
This is the first study to evaluate the effectiveness of parole supervision in Australia.
Although more than 12,000 offenders are on parole at any given time, little is known about the effectiveness of parole supervision in reducing reoffending. The few studies...
This paper provides a preliminary analysis of the rapid rise in the NSW prison population from January 2013 to March 2014.
Method: Descriptive analysis of court, crime, arrest and correctional data, and ARIMA modelling of prison trends.
Results: The key factors...
Aim: To develop a method for forecasting the NSW remand and sentenced prisoner populations.
Method: Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models with other time series as input variables were employed to estimate and forecast changes in the remand and sentenced prisoner populations....