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Jeff Borland

Working paper

Behind the headline number: why not to rely on Frey and Osborne’s predictions of potential job loss from automation


In 2013, Oxford's University's Carl Benedict Frey and Michael Osborne predicted that 47% of jobs in the United States were at “high risk” of automation over the next 10 to 20 years. The authors of this paper argue that these predictions are not reliable and lack rigour.
Article

Is manufacturing on the rise?


New data suggests that jobs in manufacturing are bucking a decades-old trend. But are we comparing like with like?
Journal article

Dealing with unemployment: what should be the role of labour market programs?

This review presents a summary of evidence on outcomes from active labour market programs. Active labour market programs aim to increase the likelihood of employment for individuals who are unemployed or at risk of unemployment. The focus of this review is on studies of active labour market programs in Australia, supplemented with international evidence. An...
Working paper

Disaggregated models of unemployment in Australia


This paper reviews evidence on causes of unemployment in Australia from disaggregated modelling of the labour market. Three main types of modelling are considered. First, information on unemployment rates of labour force participants with different skills is resented, and analyses that seek to explain why unemployment varies between skill groups are escribed. Second, descriptive evidence...

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