This report presents data on crime reported to, or detected by, the NSW Police Force from January 1995 to March 2019, with a focus on the statistical trends for the 24 months ending March 2019. The data were extracted from the Computerised Operational Policing System (COPS) of the NSW Police Force in May 2019.
The report includes an overview of trends in the most recent two-year period for major offence categories, firstly for NSW and then across NSW regions broken down to the Local Government Area (LGA) level. At the State level, for the latest 24-month period, three major offence categories have been trending upwards: murder (up 39.6%), domestic violence related assault (up 6.0%) and indecent assault, act of indecency and other sexual offences (up 5.8%). None of the 17 major offence categories were trending downwards.
The NSW graphs for rates of violent and property offences are on page 9 of the report. For violent offences using the 12-month moving average (light grey line) we can see a downward path from 2004, which has stablised over the last 5 years but then increased over the last 2 years. The trend tests shown in Table 1.1 indicate that for the latest 24-month period, six NSW Statistical Areas have significant upward trends in violent crime: Greater Sydney (up 2.2%), Far West and Orana (up 12.6%), Mid North Coast (up 2.5%), Murray (up 13.0%), Richmond-Tweed (up 4.2%) and Riverina (up 1.8%). Only one NSW Statistical Area had a significant downward trend in violent crime: New England and North West (down 3.1%).
The property offences graph using the 6-month moving average (light grey line) indicates a strong downward path from 2000 to 2010, after which there are further declines but at a slower rate. Table 1.1 showing trend tests on the levels of property offences indicates a significant decrease over the last 5 years for NSW. For the latest 24-month period, two NSW Statistical Areas have significant upward trends in property crime: Mid North Coast (up 9.1%) and Southern Highlands and Shoalhaven (up 9.1%). No NSW Statistical Areas have significant downward trends in property crime in the latest 24-month period.