Economic forecasting
Alternative labels
Demand forecasting
Report
Weathering the storm: the case for transforming the Hunter Valley
This report predicts that early action to diversify the economy and invest in regional development could ensure the Hunter Valley avoids the worst economic impacts of a decline in coal mining as the world acts on climate change.
Survey Report
Storm clouds and silver linings: what’s the outlook for New Zealand CEOs?
This report highlights a trend of pessimism regarding economic growth, as New Zealand CEOs feel increasingly uncertain about the economic future. The survey also gauged CEO's attitudes towards AI as well as data and analytics.
Working paper
The uncertainty of revenue costings in the medium term
This paper outlines the challenges of forecasting and communicating estimates of the revenue impact of policies over the medium term. The variety of policy costings that Treasury undertakes and the benefits and shortcomings of static and dynamic microsimulation approaches are discussed, with the paper concluding that medium term estimates need to be treated and communicated...
Report
Economic conflict between America and China: a truce declared, the talks begin
Although some national security policy makers in the U.S are pressing for an economic ‘decoupling’ of the U.S and China, the data in this report suggest separation on any significant scale would be as damaging to Amrica as to China, and perhaps much more so.
Strategy
Australia's tech future
This report sets out the opportunities and the challenges in maximising the benefits that a digital economy can bring. It highlights the work already happening across government and identifies further actions required to ensure all Australians can thrive in a global digital economy.