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Economic modelling

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Economic modelling
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Report

The economic contribution of Australia's tech sector


The technology sector has emerged as Australia’s third biggest industry, after mining and banking. This report demystifies Australian tech through detailed analysis of jobs, economic and industry data.
Report

National plan to transition to Australia’s national COVID-19 response: economic impact analysis


In this paper, Treasury estimates the direct economic costs of the COVID‑19 management strategies modelled by the Doherty Institute through analysis of the direct impacts of activity restrictions and lockdowns used to manage the virus and contain outbreaks.
Report

Doherty modelling report for National Cabinet 30 July 2021


This report outlines different models of COVID-19 infection and vaccination used to define a target level of vaccine coverage for transition to Phase B of the National plan to transition to Australia’s national COVID-19 response.
Discussion paper

Generation stressed: house prices and the cost of living in the 21st Century


This discussion paper explores how the affordability of home ownership has changed between generations over the last half century. It shows that the common framing of mortgage affordability places far too much emphasis on short-term interest rates, and far too little on inflation and wage growth.
Policy report

Tax and the fertility freefall: children, care and the Intergenerational Report


This paper argues that Australia should invest in financial support for parental care time for all children, with options suited to both parents, for at least the first 12 months after birth, and for universal public childcare for all children.