This report examines how China’s military build-up to 2035 might challenge assumptions about Australian security by scrutinising China’s long-range military capabilities today and in a decade’s time. It identifies shifts that affect Australian security regardless of China’s capacity to strike Australian territory.

This analysis examines the Philippines as a central test case in the South China Sea contest, where the People’s Republic of China is reshaping the maritime operating environment. The case also matters directly for Australia. Canberra is not a South China Sea claimant, but it depends on open maritime routes and is deepening defence cooperation...

A compendium of analytical perspectives examining why the preservation of the status quo in the Taiwan Strait is so critical to Indo-Pacific peace and prosperity. The essays explore Taiwan’s economic centrality, its democratic identity and the strategic dynamics that shape its future. They also provide a framework for thinking about deterrence, resilience and preparedness.

This report explores Beijing’s growing use of military coercion against Taiwan, detailing events around Asia’s most volatile flashpoint. It examines how Beijing frames its claim to Taiwan, the coercive and military tools it increasingly wields, how Taipei is responding to mounting pressure, and how other governments are managing the growing risk of confrontation.

This paper makes initial policy proposals concerning the following Pacific maritime security issues: responding to geopolitical competition; legal and regulatory environment; fisheries cooperation; transnational crime; and humanitarian assistance and disaster relief. It also makes initial policy proposals for how partner countries can enhance their maritime security assistance and cooperation in the Pacific Islands region.