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Scenario planning

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Scenario planning
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Conference paper

From design vision to economic feasibility: using a data-driven approach


Trends suggest that 60% of all new dwellings will be built in established Sydney's middle suburbs characterised by houses reaching the end of their lifecycle. This paper presents and evaluates a case study illustrating the tension between design envisioning and its economic feasibility in market-driven urban development.
Discussion paper

The third degree: evidence and implications for Australia of existential climate-related security risk


This discussion paper provides provides detailed supporting evidence for the brief 3°C scenario. Some contentious aspects are explored, including the possibility that perhaps a billion people could be displaced by 3°C of warming, and that some regions may become too hot for human habitation for part of the year.
Policy report

Existential climate-related security risk: a scenario approach


This policy paper looks at the existential climate-related security risk through a scenario set thirty years into the future.
Report

Regulatory boundaries and climate adapted futures in the Australian Capital Territory


Regional scale collaboration on climate change adaptation is an important consideration for governments. This report is based on a project that explored the relationship between legal and policy frameworks and cross-border collaboration on climate change adaptation in the Australian Capital Region (ACR).
Strategy

Melbourne 4.0


This strategy uses scenario planning and finds that the two most critical uncertainties and change drivers’ for the city of Melbourne’s economy out to 2030 are the impact of the shifting geopolitical landscape and the rate of global technological disruption and innovative advancements.