Report

China, climate politics and COP26

It is almost inevitable that competition between regional blocs — China, the United States, and Europe being the three most significant actors in this context — will increasingly be a feature of climate policy. This paper examines China's ambition to become carbon-neutral by 2060.
Policy report

The architecture of repression: unpacking Xinjiang’s governance

This project maps and analyses the governance mechanisms employed by the Chinese Communist Party-state in Xinjiang from 2014 to 2021 within the context of the region’s ongoing human rights crisis. For policy-makers, this report will provide an evidence base to inform policy responses including possible...
Report

Translating tension: Chinese-language media in Australia

This report provides some insight into the published content of Chinese-language media organisations in Australia. It examines the production and representation of news stories covering bilateral tensions between Australia and China during 2020, the perceived links between Chinese-language media and the Chinese Communist Party, and...
Report

A geoeconomic alliance: the potential and limits of economic statecraft

This policy report explains the concept of geoeconomic statecraft and the evolution of geoeconomic thinking from classical political economy, through the Cold War and post-Cold War periods, and in the more contemporary context of US-China strategic rivalry.
Report

Iron ore futures: possible paths for Australia’s biggest trade with China

The iron ore market is wrong-footing forecasters again, as it has throughout the last 20 years. This report argues that Australia’s troubled relationship with China will be influenced by which path the iron ore market takes over the medium term.
Report

Xi dreams of 100 more glorious years for the Party: might China awake?

The Chinese Communist Party is at the peak of its power as it enters its second century. This paper examines its evolution over the last 100 years, before turning to its centenary celebrations in July 2021, with Xi Jinping at the helm.
Report

Australia and the growing reach of China’s military

War between Australia and China remains a remote possibility. But by its very nature, defence policy operates in the realm of low-probability, high-consequence events. This report argues that the sheer ability of the Chinese Army to project military force over long distances places pressure on...
Report

The challenges to China’s national rejuvenation – part four: the US withdrawal from Afghanistan

This report argues that the West must realise that China is prosecuting an undeclared non-kinetic war and, consequently, that it has no option but to retaliate in kind now, when China is weaker than it appears to be because of the Chinese Communist Party’s strategic...
Report

Chinese disinformation efforts on social media

The Chinese military's focus on information warfare is expanding to include information operations on social media. This report describes how the People's Liberation Army (PLA) might direct social media disinformation campaigns against the United States and its armed forces, especially the U.S. Air Force
Report

The challenges to China’s national rejuvenation – part three: the lure and threat of Central Asia

As the first part of this paper showed, China’s planned 'dual-circulation economy', its strategy to reduce its overwhelming economic dependence on exports to fickle Western markets by increasing domestic consumption, is at heightened risk of failure due to its falling birth rates. That strategy is...