This paper argues that if Donald Trump wins a second term in the upcoming election, the rest of the world will conclude that the United States has fundamentally changed and is no longer committed to the traditional leadership role it has played since the Second World War.

COVID-19 presents new challenges to the existing governance objectives of USAID’s Indo-Pacific Strategy, especially as great power competitors, like China, use the pandemic as a vehicle to further exacerbate existing democratic backsliding, corruption and disinformation.

This volume of 'After COVID-19' builds on volume 1, and identifies some of the future challenges and opportunities as they relate to Australia’s role in the region and the multilateral system.

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is increasingly deploying coercive diplomacy against foreign governments and companies. This report tracks the CCP’s use of coercive diplomacy over the past 10 years, recording 152 cases of coercive diplomacy affecting 27 countries, as well as the European Union.

Wars often arrive unexpectedly, and their nature and scope are rarely understood before they start. This paper aims to provide a structured way of thinking about mobilisation policymaking and planning that takes this inherent uncertainty into account.