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Economic forecasting

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Demand forecasting
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Behavioural economics
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Economic forecasting
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Article

Reaping the whirlwind


Without a coherent alternative to finance-driven economic policies, the tribalism represented by the Brexit vote will triumph, argues John Quiggin.
Working paper

Economic growth in China and its potential impact on Australia-China bilateral trade: a projection for 2025 based on the CGE analysis


This paper uses the GTAP Static model to predict the potential impact of economic growth in China on bilateral trade between China and Australia in 2025, under three different scenarios representing the business-as-usual, the successful reform and the stagnation cases respectively. The results show that exports from Australia to China will continue to increase in...
Report

Australia's economic future: an agenda for growth


Australia’s record long stretch of uninterrupted economic growth has not been by chance but by design. To continue experiencing economic growth, and opportunities for all Australians, requires the nation to become more innovative, more competitive, and to better equip and engage its workers. This growth agenda outlines the major reforms that will position the nation...
Position paper

Jobs and growth ... and a few hard numbers: a scorecard on economic policy and economic performance


This briefing paper is an attempt to dig beneath vague claims about economic competence and friendliness to business, and consider more concrete indicators of economic progress.
Transcript

Opening statement, Senate Economics Legislation Committee


This opening statement provides an update on forecasts for the Australian economy contained in the 2016-17 Budget Estimates. The Budget forecasts indicate that the Australian economy continues to transition from mining investment-led growth to broader-based growth. But real GDP growth is forecast to be below potential over the next two years at 2½ per cent...