Economic indicators
Discussion paper
#changethestats: a new way of talking about unemployment
Nick Dyrenfurth argues that for too long statistics have been hiding the real economic story. Consider the latest unemployment data - ostensibly good news. But ask anyone who is working or looking for work and you’ll hear a different story.
Article
Big target, high stakes
Labor’s economic policies might seem like a life raft to the Coalition, writes Paul Rodan.
Report
What's a million, anyway?
This paper reviews Australia’s job-creation record over the past five years, on the basis of year-end employment data recently published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Its aim is to evaluate claims that the pace of employment creation during that period (with 1.1 million net new jobs added between 2013 and 2018) represents an outstanding...
Survey Report
Storm clouds and silver linings: what’s the outlook for New Zealand CEOs?
This report highlights a trend of pessimism regarding economic growth, as New Zealand CEOs feel increasingly uncertain about the economic future. The survey also gauged CEO's attitudes towards AI as well as data and analytics.
Working paper
The uncertainty of revenue costings in the medium term
This paper outlines the challenges of forecasting and communicating estimates of the revenue impact of policies over the medium term. The variety of policy costings that Treasury undertakes and the benefits and shortcomings of static and dynamic microsimulation approaches are discussed, with the paper concluding that medium term estimates need to be treated and communicated...