Probability of elimination for COVID-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand

COVID-19 Pandemics New Zealand

The author's model of COVID-19 spread estimates that after 2-3 weeks of no new reported cases, there is a 95% probability that COVID-19 has been eliminated. Currently, New Zealand has reported no new COVID-19 cases for over two weeks, therefore according to this report, there is a 95% probability that COVID-19 has been eliminated within New Zealand. The report discusses these findings in detail. 

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