The impact of COVID-19 and related response measures on the New Zealand economy is highly uncertain. To reflect this uncertainty, this report considers several alternative paths that the economy may take. These paths vary based on different assumptions about the time spent at different COVID-19 Alert Levels.

This paper argues that it is likely that once the corona virus is under control, it will take time before the consumer economy is allowed to return to full strength. There could be pressure on governments in both Australia and the United States to follow up their immediate response to the crisis with longer-term stimulus...

Episodes of debt accumulation have been a recurrent feature of the global economy over the past fifty years. This paper examines the factors that are likely to determine the outcome of the most recent debt wave, and considers policy options to help reduce the likelihood that it ends again in widespread crises.

This publication collates data on immediately impacted cohorts of the labour market who are already being adversely impacted by a collapse in aggregate demand resulting from strict policy responses to COVID-19, such as social distancing and travel restrictions.

This report provides an insight into the domestic and international economic, political and policy environment, giving policymakers and organisations an insight into the operating environment in the year to come.