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Economic forecasting

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Demand forecasting
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Behavioural economics
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Economic forecasting
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Discussion paper

Gas bagging: the case against the Beetaloo Basin gas development


This analysis shows that in most cases, the alleged benefits of Beetaloo gas development being touted by the NT Government, and subsidised by the Australian Government, are in direct conflict with observable, publicly-available economic data, and also with much of the economic, emissions and fiscal modelling undertaken to date.
Report

Intergenerational report 2023


The 2023 Intergenerational report projects the outlook of the economy and the Australian Government’s budget to 2062-63. This is the sixth report. Its analysis and projections of the key drivers of economic growth will help inform and improve public policy settings to better position Australia for the next 40 years.
Report

Australia’s Generative AI opportunity


While the full economic impact will take years to realise, Generative AI (GAI) is already impacting a range of sectors across the economy. This report aims to focus specifically on how GAI could drive value for the Australian economy, and identify the steps needed to seize this opportunity.
Discussion paper

Divided nation: the Stage 3 tax cuts broken down by city and country electorates


This research finds that the 20 electorates that will benefit the most from the Australian government's Stage 3 tax cuts are all classified as metropolitan, with 10 in Sydney, five in Melbourne, three in Brisbane, and one in Perth and Canberra. Of the 20 electorates that benefit the least, 12 are classified as rural.
Report

The global risks report 2023


The world faces a set of risks that feel both wholly new and eerily familiar. This report 2023 explores some of the most severe risks we may face over the next decade. As we stand on the edge of a low-growth and low-cooperation era, tougher trade-offs risk eroding climate action, human development and future resilience.