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Economic modelling

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Economic modelling
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Discussion paper

Do Australian households borrow to keep up with the Joneses?


This paper examines whether and how local income inequality affects household debt and its composition using household panel data for Australia from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey.
Report

Victoria on the edge: debt, deficits and unsustainable growth


The Australian economy faces the greatest series of financial risks in decades, as the odds of a global recession continue to increase. The authors of this report argue that the Victorian economy is particularly vulnerable to the economic shocks that are coming its way, because of the growth in the size of the state and...
Report

Great decisions are timely: benefits from more efficient infrastructure investment decision-making

Milad Maralani

While transformational infrastructure projects need time to be developed into sound technical solutions, many New Zealand projects are being further delayed by policy decisions and financing constraints. The authors apply the infrastructure Wider Economic Benefits approach to quantify the cost to society of further delays, by using the example of the Waikato Expressway to estimate...
Policy report

Why climate policy scenarios are important, how to use them, and what has been learned


In response to climate uncertainty, researchers, businesses and policy-makers are turning to scenario analysis. The authors of this paper argue that greater use of models will help policy-makers understand the range of uncertainties and the sensitivity of policy outcomes, based on different model assumptions.
Report

The nature-based economy: how Australia’s prosperity depends on nature


This report calculates the Australian economy’s direct dependence on nature and the variation in direct dependency for every major industry sector. It also calls for government to create strong environment laws that protect nature and establishing an independent regulator to enforce them.