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Economic modelling

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Economic modelling
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Report

Does poverty in childhood beget poverty in adulthood in Australia?


This report provides new empirical evidence that the length of time children live in households experiencing income-based disadvantage is a predictor of other forms of disadvantage experienced by early adulthood.
Policy report

How does the budget affect us? Independent modelling of Federal Budget 2020-21


NATSEM undertakes independent and impartial research that contributes to policy design and analysis. Their work includes models that show how policy scenarios shape tax and welfare payments. This report is based on the STINMOD+ tax and transfer microsimulation model, which is used to estimate the impact of the policy change on selected households.
Report

JobSeeker payment: understanding economic and policy trends influencing Commonwealth expenditure


This report examines historical trends in JobSeeker payment expenditure and recipient demographics, the drivers of these trends, and the implications for Commonwealth Government expenditure on the JobSeeker payment over the medium term.
Report

Social cost of road crashes and injuries: June 2019 update


In this report, the Ministry of Transport updates the social cost of road crashes and injuries annually to allow comparison of the costs and benefits of any road safety actions in current dollars.
Report

Estimating the economic impacts of lowering current levels of income support payments


This analysis, by Deloitte Access Economics, suggests that the federal government's planned cuts to the coronavirus supplement for people on JobSeeker, Youth Allowance and parenting payments could see the economy lose $31.3 billion and 145,000 full-time jobs over the next two years.