Economic modelling
Report
Future urban and regional settlement patterns: scenario analysis
This project assesses the economic impacts of a more decentralized population growth strategy that prioritizes greater regional growth in and around each of these four metropolitan regions. As part of this assessment, we analyse the high-level relationship between a city’s population size and its performance across different economic, and social and quality of life indicators.
Report
Outbreak readiness and business impact
Economists estimate that, in the coming decades, pandemics will cause average annual economic losses of 0.7% of global GDP – a threat similar in scale to that estimated for climate change. As this report makes clear, this is a level of risk that businesses can no longer afford to ignore.
Working paper
The uncertainty of revenue costings in the medium term
This paper outlines the challenges of forecasting and communicating estimates of the revenue impact of policies over the medium term. The variety of policy costings that Treasury undertakes and the benefits and shortcomings of static and dynamic microsimulation approaches are discussed, with the paper concluding that medium term estimates need to be treated and communicated...
Report
Every suburb, every town: poverty in Victoria
VCOSS and NATSEM have launched this major report and online mapping project, providing new data and analysis. Poverty data for Victoria has been broken down, allowing policy makers to better target the needs of people in different places.
Report
Money in retirement: more than enough
Grattan Institute modelling shows that, even after allowing for inflation, most workers today can expect a retirement income of at least 91% of their pre-retirement income – well above the 70% benchmark endorsed by the OECD, and more than enough to maintain pre-retirement living standards.