Briefing paper

NSW Public schools to 2031: impact of enrolment growth on demand for teachers

Teacher supply Teachers Government schools Primary education Secondary education New South Wales

The projections for teacher demand only model the impact of future enrolment growth to the year 2031. The projections do not include the existing teacher shortages within the NSW public school system. In the background section of this briefing paper, there are citations to reports and statements from senior Department of Education (the Department) officials and NSW Education Minister that make abundantly clear there are incredibly significant existing teacher shortages. The existing shortages relates to difficulty in placing teachers within hard to teach locations, insufficient teachers for certain subjects and specialised teachers for students with disabilities.

These current shortages have not been quantified by authorities, and it is outside the remit of this paper to develop estimates of the size of these existing teacher shortages. This paper only calculates the additional teachers that will be required because of enrolment growth.

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