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Working paper
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Ageing and the long-run fiscal sustainability of health care across levels of government

Publisher
Health services planning Ageing population Government expenditure Health economics
Description

OECD economies are undergoing a seemingly inevitable process of population ageing that has been changing income and consumption patterns. Notably, the demand for health services is expected to increase, while labour forces are projected to shrink. Both factors are projected to negatively impact the sustainability of health systems – the former through an increase in government expenditures on health and the latter through a decrease in government revenues. As health systems and their funding streams tend to be at least partially decentralised in most OECD countries, this fiscal pressure is expected to be asymmetric across levels of government. The objective of this paper is to provide order-of-magnitude estimates of the possible effects of population ageing on government finances across OECD countries, and to discuss reforms to fiscal federalism and intergovernmental relations with the purpose of funding expenditures at all levels of government.

Publication Details
DOI:
10.1787/7c184406-en
License type:
All Rights Reserved
Access Rights Type:
open
Series:
OECD Working Papers on Fiscal Federalism 38