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Machine learning map of climate policy literature reveals disparities between scientific attention, policy density, and emissions

Niklas Doebbeling-Hildebrandt, Duncan Edmondson, Christian Flachsland, William Lamb, Sebastian Levi, Finn Müller-Hansen, Eduardo Posada, Shraddha Vasudevan, Jan Minx
Journal
Research Climate change mitigation Paris Agreement Policy analysis Regulatory instruments Machine learning
Description

Current climate mitigation policies are not sufficient to meet the Paris temperature target, and ramping up efforts will require rapid learning from the scientific literature on climate policies. This literature is vast and widely dispersed, as well as hard to define and categorise, hampering systematic efforts to learn from it. 

The authors use a machine learning pipeline using transformer-based language models to systematically map the relevant scientific literature on climate policies at scale and in real-time. This 'living systematic map' of climate policy research features a set of 84,990 papers, and classifies each of them by policy instrument type, sector, and geography. 

The authors examine how the distribution of these papers varies across countries, and compare this to the distribution of emissions and enacted climate policies. Results suggests a potential stark under-representation of industry sector policies, as well as diverging attention between science and policy with respect to economic and regulatory instruments.

Publication Details
DOI:
10.1038/s44168-024-00196-0
License type:
CC BY
Access Rights Type:
open
Volume:
4
Issue:
7