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Economic modelling

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Economic modelling
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Report

Australia’s net zero transformation: Treasury modelling and analysis


The modelling and analysis report examines the impact of the net zero transformation on Australia and provides insights into the economic opportunities from different pathways. The report was prepared to support the development of Australia’s net zero plan and sector plans. It makes five key conclusions.
Report

Home Guarantee Scheme expansion: implications for first home buyers and lenders mortgage insurance


This report assesses the impacts of the Australian Government's proposed Home Guarantee Scheme expansion. It finds that the expansion will increase house prices, make it harder for lower income earners to enter the housing market, and have a negligible impact on home ownership rates. It provides six recommendations, calling for the scheme to have comprehensive...
Report

A green iron plan for Australia: securing prosperity in a decarbonising world


Australia stands on the precipice of a $400 billion annual export opportunity but market failures are holding back investment in green iron production. This report presents modelling showing how green iron can compete with fossil fuel based iron production and makes recommendations for policy changes.
Briefing paper

How useful are ‘leading’ labour market indicators at forecasting the unemployment rate?


One of the key labour market indicators that the Reserve Bank of Australia monitors and forecasts is the unemployment rate. This paper finds that information contained in measures of unmet demand, such as job advertisements and vacancies, and consumers’ expectations for unemployment, are useful in informing the RBA’s near-term forecasts for the unemployment rate.
Report

The LNP nuclear policy will cost the Australian economy at least $4.3 trillion by 2050


A whole-of-economy analysis demonstrates the implied costs of the Federal Coalition’s nuclear plan run well into the trillions of dollars – ranging from $4.3 to $5.2 trillion by 2050. The analysis reveals a hollowing out of Australian industry, permanently higher energy costs, higher costs from unabated carbon pollution and trillions of dollars in lost GDP.