Economic modelling
Report
Assessment of Coalition gas policy proposals
The report summarises the Coalition's suite of gas supply and pricing proposals, providing an independent assessment of the immediate effects on any new gas sales on wholesale and retail prices on gas customers. It also outlines the impacts on electricity prices. The initiatives are expected to result in a 7% reduction in retail gas bills...
Report
Pre-election economic and fiscal outlook 2025
This economic and fiscal outlook includes the Government’s spending and income for the current financial year and the next four years. The potential magnitude and persistence of the economic effects of the United States administration's announced increase in tariffs has resulted in greater-than-usual uncertainty around the outlook.
Report
The housing market effects of using superannuation savings for housing
This report applies statistical and econometric methods to better understand the implications of demand-side housing policy interventions. It examines recent policy proposals to permit first homeowners to access part of their superannuation balance to go to their first home loan deposit. The analysis predicts the proposed policy would inflate housing prices by between 7.4% and...
Report
National Competition Policy: modelling proposed reforms
This report assesses the economic impact of 26 proposed reforms identified by the Australian, state and territory governments through the Council for Federal Financial Relations. It found a new round of National Competition Policy reforms could boost GDP by an estimated $26–45 billion in 2023-24 dollars.
Report
Lasting impacts: the economic costs of child poverty in New South Wales
This report reveals that child poverty costs the NSW economy approximately $60 billion annually – 7.6 per cent of the state’s Gross State Product. The report highlights the far-reaching consequences of child poverty, including reduced educational attainment, poor health outcomes, and diminished workforce participation, which perpetuate cycles of disadvantage and lead to significant social and...