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Economic modelling

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Economic modelling
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Report

Aged care reforms: projecting future impacts


Understanding how potential reforms might impact on the operations of the sector, its workforce and required levels of funding are important parts of the overall picture of the future of aged care in Australia. With that in mind, the Royal Commission asked Deloitte Access Economics to develop this detailed economic scenario model of the aged...
Discussion paper

Early tax cuts as stimulus


Modelling in this paper demonstrates that bringing forward Stages 2 and 3 of the federal government’s income tax cuts would mainly benefit high income earners and have a very poor stimulatory effect on the economy.
Report

Super in the economy 2020


This report shows industry super funds’ investment performance has added billions of dollars to members’ retirement savings and deepened Australia's national savings pool, helping protect the economy during downturns. The report includes forecasts based on the present legislated scenario of small, incremental increases in the super guarantee and calls for a more efficient super system...
Report

Structural trends in GST


This report examines trends in GST receipts relative to the size of the economy over the last twenty years, including the impact of demographic change, and possible trajectories for future GST collections.
Working paper

Uncertainty and monetary policy during extreme events


How damaging are uncertainty shocks during extreme events such as the great recession and the COVID-19 outbreak? Can monetary policy limit output losses in such situations? This paper outlines economic modelling for policymakers.