Rapid evaluation of a COVID-era apprentice wage subsidy program
The Boosting Apprentice Commencements (BAC) and Completing Apprentice Commencements programs were introduced in 2020 to support businesses to take on an apprenticeship or traineeship during the COVID-19 pandemic. The programs provided a 50% wage subsidy over 12 months from the date of commencement, and smaller wage subsidies in later years of training.
This evaluation sought to answer questions covering:
- apprentice commencements and completions
- apprentice and employer characteristics
- cost effectiveness.
This evaluation took a mixed-methods approach. The evaluation team analysed administrative data, built a time-series event study econometric model of quarterly commencements and built a probit econometric model of an individual’s likelihood of continuing their training. The existing literature on wage subsidies for Australian Apprenticeships was also reviewed and selected stakeholders were interviewed.
There are 7 major lessons for the design of future policies outlined in the report. The program was implemented under tight timeframes during a time of distinct economic uncertainty, and so many of these lessons would not have been apparent at the time it was first designed and implemented.
Key findings
- Overall, the BAC program had a large positive effect on apprenticeship and traineeship commencements.
- While the program achieved its purpose of increasing commencements, there were also some issues. The program was associated with a 7% increase in the cancellation rate for non-trade occupations compared to the historical rates.
- While the program achieved its intended outcome of increasing commencements, it did so at a significant cost. As of 31 March 2024, over $7.5 billion in BAC and CAC wage subsidies had been paid. The full cost of these interventions is currently unknown as CAC payments will continue beyond June 2025.
