Economic forecasting
Alternative labels
Demand forecasting
Report
Guaranteeing the right start
There is a strong case for bold policy interventions to prevent youth unemployment. This report argues for the government to ‘aim higher’ in its response to the coming unemployment crisis.
Report
Australia’s exposure to regional economic disruption: investment
This paper discusses how the COVID-related recession will significantly dampen international capital flows in 2020.
Working paper
Sectoral employment dynamics In Australia
In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, the prevention of further decline in aggregate employment and turning it around are high on the agenda of policymakers. This paper develops a multivariate time series model of employment in 19 sectors of the Australian economy.
Working paper
Shutdown: estimating the COVID-19 employment shock
Australia’s governments are rightly spending record amounts trying to cushion Australian workers and businesses from the worst impacts of this unprecedented crisis. This paper shows that the economic shock from COVID-19 is going to be so big that more support will be needed.
Briefing paper
The same mistake twice: the self-defeating consequences of public sector pay freezes
This paper documents the harmful consequences of freezing public service pay, both for public sector workers and for the broader economy.