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Economic forecasting

Alternative labels
Demand forecasting
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Broader terms
Behavioural economics
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Economic forecasting
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Report

Guaranteeing the right start


There is a strong case for bold policy interventions to prevent youth unemployment. This report argues for the government to ‘aim higher’ in its response to the coming unemployment crisis.
Report

Australia’s exposure to regional economic disruption: investment


This paper discusses how the COVID-related recession will significantly dampen international capital flows in 2020.
Working paper

Sectoral employment dynamics In Australia


In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, the prevention of further decline in aggregate employment and turning it around are high on the agenda of policymakers. This paper develops a multivariate time series model of employment in 19 sectors of the Australian economy.
Working paper

Shutdown: estimating the COVID-19 employment shock


Australia’s governments are rightly spending record amounts trying to cushion Australian workers and businesses from the worst impacts of this unprecedented crisis. This paper shows that the economic shock from COVID-19 is going to be so big that more support will be needed.
Briefing paper

The same mistake twice: the self-defeating consequences of public sector pay freezes


This paper documents the harmful consequences of freezing public service pay, both for public sector workers and for the broader economy.