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Economic forecasting

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Demand forecasting
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Are we looking at the wrong measure of economic wellbeing?


Successive treasurers have hailed Australia's long run of economic growth as a standout compared to the rest of the world. But if it's so good, how come many of us are feeling worse off? It could be because we're looking at the wrong measure of economic wellbeing. That's the finding of a new report by...
Report

The global competitiveness report 2016–2017


This year’s edition highlights that declining openness is threatening growth and prosperity. It also highlights that monetary stimulus measures, such as quantitative easing, are not enough to sustain growth and must be accompanied by competitiveness reforms.
Report

Never gonna dig you up! Modelling the economic impacts of a moratorium on new coal mines


As the world works to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, it will need to burn less coal. As a result, the world will need less coal mines. In the lead up to the Paris climate talks in December 2015, President Anote Tong of Kiribati and other Pacific leaders called for a global moratorium on new coal...
Report

The long boom: what China’s rebalancing means for Australia’s future


Australia’s services sector may be the largest beneficiary of China’s rebalancing in the future, according to a new research report prepared by Australian Centre for Financial Studies for the Australia China Business Council and ShineWing Australia. China is Australia’s largest two-way trading partner, and by a significant margin. Not only does China claim nearly 25%...
Report

Inequality: the facts and the future


This report argues that Australia is well placed to resist the economic and political pressures which can make us more unequal over time. If we do this, our economy will grow strongly and middle Australia will see the benefits. The alternative – to go down the American road of rising inequality, would be bad for...